Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

[Temp Check] Burn surplus RetroPGF (+ monetary policy proposals)

Currently, there’s no monetary policy proposal type. So, this is not a proposal, but rather a conversation starter about some serious issues.

This has been completely centralized, as decided by Optimism Foundation. The projections offered at genesis have not been honoured, and current projections 6 are also vague. Confidence in tokens or anything of economic value is derived from predictability and stability - which has been completely undermined in the name of experimentation. There’s billions of dollars at play here, we need to take things more seriously. The entire handling of $OP distribution has been haphazard. I believe $OP can do better with decentralized community checks and balances, and thus there should be monetary policy proposal types.

While there are many errors and problems with the policy, the most obvious issue is - the RetroPGF allocation. I’ve discussed burning it in the past 3, so let’s revisit that topic. As per initial projections announced at genesis, 100% of the RetroPGF (along with Ecosystem Fund) was intended to be allocated by the end of Year 4:

image1920×914 97 KB

However, after nearly 2 years in, only 40 million, or ~4.7% would have been distributed. Current projections 6 are radically different [please see Erratum below, the next figures are wrong], calling for only 140 million OP to be distributed by the end of year 5. This is only 16% of the initial projections, despite the 1 extra year. To be clear, this is a more reasonable projection than the ones initially offered, but that leaves a massive overhang of 700 million $OP tokens. At the end of 5 years, over ~75% of pending unlock (effectively inflation) will be RPGF alone.

It’s obvious that RPGF was severely overallocated at genesis, and >6x gap between initial projections and current projections reflects the magnitude of the error. My recommendation is to burn the ~700 million OP that was overallocated to RPGF, while honouring the current projections till year 5.

[Erratum: As @danftz points out below, it’s actually 340 million OP per the projections, with the overhang being ~500M OP, not ~700M OP. I’d prefer to see 140M OP be distributed, as that’s plenty for RPGF.]

To be clear, this does not mean the end of RPGF at the end of year 5. 5 years in for the OP Collective, and nearly a decade in for the Optimism Foundation and its predecessor Plasma Group at large, it’s about time to consolidate and become economically sustainable. Beyond that point, a ~75% overhang is unjustified. So, RPGF will continue, but in a different form, that’s sustainable:

  • Share of protocol revenues (sequencer, MEV, OP stack chains etc.)
  • Share of regular inflation (currently 0%, but we can bump it to 1% or 2% after year 5)

This will lead to:

  • A more sustainable RPGF
  • Clarity in the massive RPGF overhang, leading to increase confidence and long-term value in the $OP token, leading to higher economic security and sustainability
  • Increase in net value of $OP tokens by ~16% due to the lower supply

These are just my thoughts, please voice your opinion below.

PS: I’ve changed the title to “Burn surplus RetroPGF” from “Burn RetroPGF”

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • U.S. consumer confidence improves again in November, reaching a two-year high

    Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist of the World Large Enterprises Federation, said, "US consumer confidence continued to improve in November, reaching the highest level in the past two years. The growth in November was mainly due to consumers' more positive assessment of the current situation, especially in the labor market. Compared with October, consumers' optimism about future employment opportunities has also greatly increased, reaching the highest level in nearly three years. At the same time, consumers' expectations for future business conditions have not changed, while their optimism about future income has slightly declined." Earlier, the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November recorded 111.7, a new high since July 2023.

  • Starknet: Phase 1 of STRK staking is now live on the mainnet

    Starknet announced that the first stage of STRK staking has officially launched on the mainnet.

  • CZ: Not trying to end the meme craze, just encouraging more builders

    CZ posted on X platform today, saying: "I am not against Meme coins, but Meme coins have become 'a little' strange now. Let's use blockchain technology to build practical applications." Some community users said that even Musk is a supporter of Meme coins, and it is very difficult to end this frenzy. CZ responded that "there is no attempt to end anything, everyone has the right to choose to invest or hold what they want. Just encourage more builders."

  • Talus Network Completes $6 Million Strategic Round of Financing with a Valuation of $150 Million

    decentralized AI protocol Talus Network raised $6 million in a strategic financing round led by Polychain Capital, valuing the company at $150 million. This funding will help further develop the Talus ecosystem, including the Protochain, Nexus framework, and "AI dating experience" application.

  • AXIOS: Trump is considering appointing a secretary of state for artificial intelligence

    according to AXIOS, Trump is considering appointing an AI minister to coordinate federal policies and government use of emerging technologies.

  • Coinbase International has launched COW perpetual contracts

     Coinbase International has launched COW perpetual contracts. COW-PERP market limit, market, stop loss, and stop loss limit orders are now all available.

  • Schuman Financial Completes $7.36 Million Seed Round, Led by RockawayX

    Schuman Financial has completed a $7.36 million seed round of financing, led by RockawayX, with participation from Lightspeed Faction, Kraken Ventures, Nexo Ventures, Gnosis VC, Delta Blockchain Fund and Bankless Ventures. In addition, Schuman Financial has launched a euro stablecoin, EURØP, which complies with the MiCA standard.

  • QCP: BTC's path to $100,000 has stalled, and ETH implied volatility has turned to put options

    QCP Capital has published an analysis indicating that the recent drop in the price of Bitcoin has resulted in long liquidations exceeding $430 million. This drop coincides with the end of five consecutive days of net inflows for spot ETFs, which recorded a outflow of $438 million on Monday, while MicroStrategy fell by 4.4%. With the US holiday approaching and no immediate catalyst to push prices higher, BTC's path towards $100,000 has stalled. In addition, the implied volatility of ETH has turned to bearish options rather than bullish options, and market concerns about downside risks may intensify, especially with the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and PCE data. However, in the long run, this market decline is not an excessive correction. Bitcoin has only retreated to last week's level. Since Trump's election, the market has become extremely overbought and leveraged, so a pause is inevitable.

  • Binance will delist GFT, IRIS, KEY, OAX, and REN

     Binance will delist the following trading pairs on December 10, 2024: GFT/USDT, IRIS/BTC, IRIS/USDT, KEY/USDT, OAX/BTC, OAX/USDT, REN/BTC, and REN/USDT. Additionally, Binance Futures will close all positions and automatically settle the KEYUSDT and RENUSDT USDⓈ-M perpetual contracts on December 3, 2024 at 09:00 (UTC). After the settlement is completed, the contracts will be delisted.

  • OpenTrade announces $4 million seed extension round led by AlbionVC

    OpenTrade has announced the completion of a $4 million seed extension financing round to build RWA-supported loan and stablecoin yield products. This round of financing was led by AlbionVC, with participation from a16z Crypto and CMCC Global. OpenTrade plans to use the funds to expand its operations and enhance its product capabilities.