Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Crypto Capital Reset Underway Following Final Flushout: Glassnode

Validated Individual Expert

Crypto markets have been flushed out for what many believe is the final time for this bear cycle.

A major capital reset is underway, according to on-chain analytics provider Glassnode. In its “week on-chain” report on Dec. 5, the firm said the FTX collapse caused “one of the largest deleveraging events in digital asset history.”

Markets have been consolidating just above those cycle lows since the FTX meltdown in early November. Additionally, there has been a slight uptick in on-chain activity but nothing substantial enough to catalyze larger price movements just yet.

Glassnode delved into the magnitude of losses realized by all market participants during the massive deleveraging event.

These flushouts are nothing new in crypto markets, and the forced removal of over-leveraged positions is healthier for price discovery in the longer term. High leverage is generally unsustainable for any asset class.

Record Capitulation Event

There were two historical-scale capitulation events this year, in June and in November. The most recent FTX event resulted in a record one-day loss of $4.43 billion, according to Glassnode.

However, the June sell-off, which was spurred by the Terra ecosystem collapse, sustained over $700 million in daily losses for a fortnight.

Glassnode inspected the ratio between realized profit and realized loss, noting that it had hit an all-time low. “This indicates that losses locked in by the market were 14x larger than profit-taking events,” it observed.

Previous ratio lows of similar magnitude occurred at the cycle bottoms of the 2011, 2015, and 2018 bear markets. A macro trend shift followed, and a bull market began the following year in all three scenarios.

The report concluded that the magnitude of losses has diminished in recent weeks following the flushout. It is likely that the consolidation will continue for several months before any notable trend reversal can be measured.

Crypto Market Outlook

In the short-term, crypto markets have retreated 1.1% on the day, dropping total capitalization back to $892 billion. With such low conviction at the moment for the entire crypto space, resistance above current levels is going to be hard to break down.

Bitcoin is hovering just above $17K following a retreat from $17,400 over the past 23 hours. Meanwhile, Ethereum has dropped 2% in a retreat back to $1,266 at the time of writing, according to CoinGecko.

Furthermore, there has been very little movement in either direction for most of the higher-cap altcoins today.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • BTC falls below $68,500

    market shows BTC has fallen below $68,500 and is currently trading at $68,446, with a 24-hour increase of only 0.02%. The market is volatile, please be prepared for risk control.

  • ETH/BTC exchange rate fell below 0.0356, hitting the lowest level since the 21-year bull peak

    market data shows the ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen below 0.0356, currently at 0.03557, with a 24-hour decline of 0.81%, continuing to reach the lowest level since the bull market peak of 21 years ago. The market fluctuations are significant, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • AAVE drops below $130

    market shows that AAVE has fallen below $130 and is now reporting at $129.99, with a 24-hour drop of 1.87%. The market is fluctuating greatly, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • BTC falls below $68,500

    market shows BTC has fallen below $68,500, now trading at $68,486.02, with a 24-hour decline of 0.02%. The market is volatile, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • BTC breaks through $69,000

    the market shows BTC breaking through $69,000, currently reporting at $69,001.99 with a 24-hour decline of 0.03%. The market is experiencing significant fluctuations, please be prepared for risk control.

  • BTC falls below $68,000

    the market shows that BTC has fallen below $68,000 and is now trading at $67,931.33, with a 24-hour drop of 2.7%. The market is fluctuating greatly, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • BTC falls below $69,000

    market shows BTC has fallen below $69,000 and is currently trading at $68,969.98, with a 24-hour drop of 1%. The market is volatile, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • BTC breaks through $69,500

    the market shows BTC has broken through $69,500 and is now trading at $69,502.89, with a 24-hour decline of 1.03%. The market is volatile, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • BNB falls below $570

    the market shows that BNB has fallen below $570 and is now trading at $569.7, with a 24-hour decline of 1.18%. The market is volatile, so please be cautious in risk control.

  • BTC falls below $69,500

    market shows BTC has fallen below $69,500, currently trading at $69,484.01, with a 24-hour decline of 1.71%. The market is volatile, so please take precautions to manage risks.