Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Cardano Jumps 20% as Analyst Eyes Bitcoin Pullback to $40K to 'Fill CME Gap'

Validated Media

Market observers "underappreciate" future inflows from institutional investors to bitcoin, asset 21.co CEO said in a CoinDesk TV interview.

  • Layer 1 tokens ADA, ALGO, AVAX and SOL among best performers as capital rotation from stalling BTC lifts altcoins.
  • Bitcoin may revisit $40,000 to "fill CME price gap," crypto analyst Willy Woo speculated.

Native tokens tied to layer 1 (L1) blockchains gained the most Friday, with Cardano (ADA) being the best performer, as steady bitcoin (BTC) price fueled capital rotation to altcoins.

Bitcoin bounced between $43,000 and $44,000 during the day, quickly shaking off a minor dip following a stronger U.S. employment report than analysts expected that dampened interest rate cut expectations for next year.

The top crypto was recently trading at around $43,800, consolidating as investors digested its swift rally to near $45,000 this week after its breakout from $38,000 a week ago.

Altcoins, meanwhile, jumped across the board, resembling early November's "altcoin rotation" when slowing bitcoin momentum drove traders to realize some gains and invest in smaller, riskier cryptocurrencies. These capital rotations are typical in the crypto markets after large bitcoin run-ups, followed by a rally in bigger crypto assets then among meme coins and micro caps as traders chase tokens that haven't moved yet to profit.

ADA surged 25% to 57 cents at one point during the day, its highest price since August 2022. It gave up some of the early gains later in the day, but was still up almost 20% today. Other notable top performers were native tokens of Polkadot (DOT), Algorand (ALGO), Avalanche (AVAX) and Solana (SOL), which posted 7%-11% gains.

The CoinDesk Market Index (CMI), a basket of almost 200 cryptocurrencies, was up 1.5% through the day, more than BTC, underscoring altcoin outperformance.

What's next for BTC

As bitcoin's momentum stalled, some analysts speculated about a potential pullback to retest lower price levels.

Bitcoin-focused analyst Willy Woo eyed a price level between $39,000-$41,000 based on a price gap in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) bitcoin futures market, which BTC might "fill" sometime in the future.

These price gaps occur because the CME futures market, unlike native crypto exchanges like Binance or Deribit, don't trade around the clock, and there could be a difference between closing and opening prices depending on bitcoin's price action when the market is closed. Some analysts reckon that asset prices tend to revisit these levels during a correction, filling the gap.

BTC rallied last weekend surpassing $40,000, when the CME futures market was closed, creating the price gap on the chart.

"By my count 28 out of 30 gaps have been filled on CME daily candles (93%)," Woo posted on X, formerly Twitter.

However, these gaps do not always get filled. For example, BTC hasn't revisited the CME gap at around $20,000 yet, formed in March during the weekend collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

Institutional inflows to bitcoin are "underappreciated"

  Despite a potential short-term pullback, bitcoin's outlook is bullish, with growing interest among institutional investors, Hany Rashwan, co-founder and CEO of digital asset management firm 21.co, said in a Friday interview with CoinDesk TV.

Rashwan opined that market observers are "underappreciating" future inflows into BTC if – or once – a spot-based exchange-traded fund gets approved in the U.S, which will likely happen according to analysts.

"There are a lot of prospective buyers, who for various reasons wanted to invest in crypto but has been prohibited to do so" because of regulations, he said. Rashwan noted that 75% of inflows into digital asset funds during the year happened in the past 60-90 days. "That's not normal," he said, adding that it's "a sign of change in sentiment across primarily institutional players."

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • ETH breaks through $2100

    market shows ETH breaking through $2100, currently at $2100.24, with a 24-hour increase of 7.65%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risks accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $66,000

    the market shows BTC falling below 66,000 USD, currently at 65,996.42 USD, a 24-hour decline of 2.35%, with significant market fluctuations, please manage your risk properly.

  • YesGo Makes Its Public Debut: Joining Forces with Ecosystem and Industry Leaders to Usher in a New Era of On-Chain Native Commerce

    Hong Kong, February 11, 2026 – As one of the most visionary cross-sector dialogues held during Hong Kong Consensus Week, the YesGo Ecosystem Partner Meeting concluded successfully yesterday. This closed-door event, spearheaded by YesGo and co-hosted by Nexus Chain and compliant digital asset exchange CoinMy, brought together a select group of global ecosystem partners, industry KOLs, and media representatives.

  • The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was 227,000.

     initial jobless claims in the United States last week were 227,000, estimated at 224,000, previous value was 231,000.

  • BTC breaks through $68,000

     the market shows BTC breaking through $68,000, currently at $68,023.93, with a 24-hour decline of 1.36%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • [Consensus HK] ENI CEO Arion Ho: Decentralization is an Engineering Choice, Not a Slogan

    At the Consensus Hong Kong 2026 summit, ENI Founder and CEO Arion Ho joined the DeFi Lead at CoinDesk and executives from Paradigm and Blockdaemon to debate the future of DeFi decentralization. Ho delivered a sharp critique of the industry’s current trajectory, asserting that decentralization should never be about "slogan-style freedom," but is fundamentally a rigorous engineering choice.

  • Trump praised the non-farm payroll data and urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to the "lowest in the world."

    US President Trump posted on social media, "Employment data is excellent, far exceeding expectations! The US should pay much less interest on borrowing costs (bonds!). We have once again become the world's number one power, and therefore deserve the lowest interest rates ever. This will bring at least one trillion dollars in interest savings annually — the budget will not only be balanced but will have a substantial surplus. Wow! The golden age of America has arrived!!!"

  • BTC falls below $67,000

    the market shows BTC falling below $67,000, currently at $66,991.58, with a 24-hour decline of 3.41%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $69,000

     the market shows BTC fell below 69,000 USD, currently at 68,996.18 USD, with a 24-hour decline of 2.21%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.

  • BTC falls below $70,000

     the market shows BTC falling below $70,000, currently at $69,990, with a 24-hour decline of 1.04%. The market is highly volatile, please manage your risk accordingly.