On April 5th, QCPCapital, a cryptocurrency market maker, pointed out in its latest research report that the cryptocurrency market will perform poorly at the beginning of the second quarter of 2024. The price of Bitcoin has fallen below $70,000 and is fluctuating within a narrow range. The scale of ETF fund inflows is not sufficient to drive price trends. The funding rate tends to be stable, and the front end of the forward curve has fallen from a high point of 50% to below 20%. However, it is worth noting that the back end of the forward curve is still at a high level, and investors are interested in longer-term spot-forward basis positions. This may be due to the continued demand for Bitcoin 2025 long-term call options in the market. QCP believes that the bullish demand for Bitcoin and the upward momentum of spot ETF fund inflows will support Bitcoin prices and is expected to push Bitcoin above $70,000 this weekend. On the other hand, Ethereum continues to be weak. ETHBTC is testing key support levels after falling below 0.05. The market continues to sell a large number of Ethereum long call options, which has lowered the implied volatility and formed some downward pressure on prices. QCP analysis believes that this may once again indicate that the early signal of the shift from frenzy to panic for altcoins represented by Ethereum.
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