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Goldman Sachs: The Fed Is Expected To Start Cutting Interest Rates by the End of June 2024, With Quarterly Cuts Expected To Be 25 Basis Points

According to Goldman Sachs economists, the Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates before the end of June 2024 and gradually lower rates on a quarterly basis from then on. Goldman Sachs economists, including Jan Hatzius and David Mericle, wrote in a report last Sunday, "We have lowered our expectations because once inflation approaches its target, we want to normalize fund rates from restrictive levels.

Normalizing rates is not a particularly urgent motive for cutting interest rates, so we also believe that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain a stable risk. We expect a 25 basis point rate cut every quarter, but the speed of the rate cut is still uncertain. We expect the fund rate to eventually stabilize at 3-3.25%." Last week, data showed that the overall growth rate of the US inflation rate rose below expectations at 3.2%, and the annual growth rate of the core consumer price index (excluding energy and food costs) was 4.7%. 

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