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Bitcoin Might Be Going Through Its “Most Challenging” Cycle Based On This Metric

The current Bitcoin cycle might be its “most challenging” one yet if the drawdown in this on-chain metric is anything to go by.

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the latest drawdown in the holdings of the 1k-10k BTC value band is the most drastic in the history of the crypto. The relevant indicator here is the “UTXO Value Bands,” which tells us the total amount of coins each value band is holding in the market.

UTXOs are divided into these “value bands” or groups based on their current value. For instance, the 100-1k BTC value band includes all UTXOs carrying between 100 and 1,000 coins. Here, the relevant UTXO value band is the 1k-10k BTC range, a historically important cohort as usually only the whales have wallets with UTXO amounts so large.

Now, the below chart displays the trend in the total holdings of this value band over the last five years:

The graph shows that the total number of coins held by this Bitcoin UTXO value band has seen a sharp drop this year. In all, the drawdown has amounted to 453,205.04 BTC being dumped by this cohort since the peak observed in June 2022.

For comparison, in the 2018/19 bear market, the 1k-10k BTC value band saw a total drawdown of 324,868.65 BTC from the high. During the COVID black swan crash of 2020, the group also distributed a significant amount, shedding 186,928.48 from its holdings.

(by Hououin Kyouma)

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