Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Bitcoin's Historical Patterns of Boom and Bust and the Risk of Reversion: Bloomberg Strategist

Bitcoin's historical patterns of boom and bust are closely tied to liquidity, according to Mike McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg. McGlone warns that Bitcoin's current price level of around $27,000 may be at risk of reversion, considering that it was only $7,000 at the end of 2019 before the massive liquidity pump in 2020.

He also notes that slumping copper and cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are paying heed to the warning, which contrasts notably with the resilient stock market.

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Michael Van de Poppe suggests that Bitcoin's recent price action could technically be complete for BTC, with the ABC pattern potentially signaling consolidation and potential for upside.

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Fed's Collins: Another rate cut in December is under consideration, but not finalized

    Collins from the Federal Reserve stated: A rate cut in December is clearly being considered, but it has not been finally determined. There are currently no signs of price pressure. More data will be released before December, and we will have to continue to evaluate and interpret it reasonably. (Jinshi)
  • U.S. Bitcoin ETFs Experience Third-Largest Outflow Since Launch

    On Thursday, U.S.-listed bitcoin exchange-traded funds experienced their third-largest outflow since launch, with over $400 million being drained. Interestingly, each time there has been an outflow greater than $400 million, a local bottom in price has been observed, as seen on May 1 and Nov. 4. This comes as stablecoin liquidity and bitcoin transactions are on the rise, while the ETH/BTC ratio has slid to its lowest point since April. Some are questioning whether bitcoin is losing its bullish momentum.
  • Crypto KOL him: He once transferred 20 million Fartcoins to the Truth Terminal wallet, now worth 5 million US dollars

    On November 15th, Equation Founder him posted on X that a whale had sent 20 million Fartcoins to Truth Terminal's wallet address, which was worth $40,000 at the time and is now worth $5 million, making Truth Terminal the first AI millionaire. Finally, he stated that the whale was himself.
  • Into The Block: $89,200 is Bitcoin's key support/resistance point

    According to Into The Block data, more than 907,000 addresses bought Bitcoin at an average price of $89,200, making this price a key support/resistance level.
  • CZ looks back at last year’s post: Standing on the right side of history

    CZ forwarded his November 2023 tweet and said he was standing on the right side of history. Earlier in November 2023, CZ wrote, "Imagine if there was a better form of currency that could help billions of people in history, and you stood on the wrong side. This would not be a good legacy."
  • Matrixport: Short-term overbought and strong capital inflows boosted Bitcoin's rise. Three important time points in December are worth paying attention to.

    On November 15th, Matrixport released its weekly report stating that Bitcoin is experiencing a strong upward trend driven by multiple positive factors, including continuous inflow of Bitcoin spot ETF funds, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and improved regulatory environment. Bitcoin's 7-day rolling price increase reached $19,265, setting a new historical high and indicating an unprecedented strength in this rebound. Although the short-term RSI indicator shows overbought conditions and a possible consolidation, the report predicts that cryptocurrencies will break through the 8% adoption rate threshold by 2025, laying the foundation for larger-scale adoption.
  • Trump appoints former SEC Chair Jay Clayton as US Attorney for Southern District of New York

    Donald Trump, the President-elect, has announced that Jay Clayton, the former SEC Chair, will be appointed as the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York. Clayton has advised several crypto firms since leaving the SEC in December 2020 and was responsible for the production of the SEC's DAO Report. He famously stated that most initial coin offerings were securities, a view shared by his successor, Gary Gensler. Trump described Clayton as a "highly respected business leader, counsel and public servant."
  • The U.S. Department of Government Efficiency needs “revolutionaries with super high IQs who are committed to small government reform”

    the newly established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) in the United States has released an official statement via their X account, thanking thousands of Americans for their interest in joining the department. However, they have made it clear that they do not need "part-time creative contributors," but rather "revolutionaries with super high intelligence who are committed to small government reform." Applicants are required to work more than 80 hours per week and focus on plain and simple cost reduction. Applicants who meet the requirements can submit their resumes via private message, and the top 1% of outstanding applicants will be personally reviewed by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswami.
  • SEC Chairman Gary Gensler Makes Final Lobbying Call for US Crypto Regulation

    according to institutional reports, US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman, Clayton, is making a final push to allow the agency to regulate the cryptocurrency market before the Trump administration's term ends and its enthusiasm for digital assets wanes. In a speech prepared for a legal conference in New York on Thursday, Clayton reiterated that the agency should focus on "road rules" applicable to cryptocurrency sales and intermediaries such as brokers and exchanges to support proper disclosure. Clayton stated that the experience of the Great Depression made decision-makers aware of the "importance of disclosure terms, as information about securities creates a public product". (Jinshi Data APP)